Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.054923 0.065173 0.076681 0.090542 0.106767 0.125139 0.147506
2025-04-13 0.037362 0.049937 0.065689 0.086797 0.114261 0.148702 0.195077
2025-04-20 0.029149 0.042757 0.061315 0.088309 0.126384 0.177952 0.252834
2025-04-27 0.023538 0.037324 0.057507 0.088929 0.136286 0.204581 0.310006
2025-05-04 0.019501 0.033112 0.054307 0.089312 0.145172 0.230179 0.368424
2025-05-11 0.016662 0.030083 0.052174 0.090627 0.155170 0.258156 0.433471
2025-05-18 0.014770 0.028199 0.051438 0.093853 0.168351 0.292350 0.512185
2025-05-25 0.012289 0.024775 0.047461 0.090807 0.170337 0.308181 0.562222
2025-06-01 0.010683 0.022651 0.045395 0.090721 0.177270 0.332916 0.630042
2025-06-08 0.009218 0.020517 0.042937 0.089449 0.181707 0.353525 0.692620
2025-06-15 0.008357 0.019453 0.042360 0.091671 0.192935 0.387621 0.783622
2025-06-22 0.007312 0.017798 0.040316 0.090593 0.197441 0.409391 0.853459
2025-06-29 0.006294 0.016036 0.037818 0.088293 0.199354 0.426738 0.917565
2025-07-06 0.005366 0.014309 0.035121 0.085161 0.199100 0.439744 0.974609
2025-07-13 0.004886 0.013584 0.034576 0.086758 0.209308 0.475481 1.082819
2025-07-20 0.004409 0.012769 0.033680 0.087391 0.217402 0.507578 1.186788
2025-07-27 0.003977 0.011990 0.032744 0.087773 0.224935 0.539236 1.293228
2025-08-03 0.003641 0.011409 0.032211 0.089067 0.234787 0.577145 1.417784
2025-08-10 0.003424 0.011125 0.032404 0.092241 0.249644 0.628155 1.577886
2025-08-17 0.002980 0.010076 0.030371 0.089245 0.248576 0.641546 1.650998
2025-08-24 0.002699 0.009470 0.029465 0.089160 0.254998 0.673651 1.772511
2025-08-31 0.002411 0.008783 0.028210 0.087909 0.258154 0.698020 1.877582
2025-09-07 0.002260 0.008517 0.028156 0.090094 0.270933 0.747997 2.052117